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How Do Financial Markets React to US Elections?

01 September 2024

An evidence-based approach – rather than a political one – has shown its worth over the years

Understanding the impact elections have historically had on markets can serve as Pepto Bismol for investors with bad gut feelings, however.

Looking at 70 years of returns, a Democrat in the White House has been better for investors. Since 1953, $1,000 (£789.79) invested when a Democrat is president, sold to cash when a Republican takes office, then reinvested when a Democrat returns turns into $62,000. The opposite strategy – only investing when a Republican sits in the Oval Office – only grows to $27,000.

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